Vouching For the Other Guy's Bad Faith
There is a pattern of thought and commentary that goes like this:"I like Barack Obama, and think he's a great guy and would make a great president. Unfortunately, there are too many racists in this...
View ArticleWhat Would it Take in NC to Erase Clinton's PA Pop Vote?
The popular vote is a fallacy, as I've written before. A brief recap: 1) Candidates would camp out in large urban areas like LA and Brooklyn and never spend so many millions trying to split 200,000...
View ArticleThe North Carolina Democratic Primary: Tracking Results
It's Tuesday, Sixo de Mayo, 2008. Someone forgot to tell North Carolina it wasn't a big, mattering state in time to cancel this foolishness. So they're having it. Polls close at 7:30 EDT.IMMEDIATELY...
View ArticleMy Advice to Fellow Obama Supporters for Unity (Updated)
This will be a relatively short diary, attempting to expand on a comment I made in dawnt's excellent diary.There are calls for unity from Obama supporters and Clinton supporters alike. As an Obama...
View ArticleFinally: Even With FL/MI Obama Leads in All ELECTED Super Subcategories
We have crossed another landmark moment in the superdelegate race. With the endorsement of Rep. Peter DeFazio (OR) and the flip of Rep. Donald Payne (NJ), even under Clinton counting of the...
View ArticleMath and Magic Numbers on West Virginia's Primary Day
Today is May 13, 2008, and West Virginia, a state that matters like all the rest, is going to the polls.We already know this will be a bad day for Barack Obama in the pledged delegate count. But I...
View ArticleAll This Punditry, and I Just Have To Laugh
I confess, I didn't even watch one second of cable news on Tuesday. I played poker. I got a friend on the phone nearly 3 hours after the polls closed, and he gave me a hilarious, gorgeously profane...
View Article(Updated) Restless Math Syndrome: The Edwards 7 Premise (w/Poll)
May 20, Barack Obama will declare pledged delegate victory. Oregon'll be a fun results tracker diary.3 weeks ago, Jed grasped the importance of perception of whether it's voters or supers putting...
View ArticleOregon Democratic Primary: Tracking Results (Still Updating)
It's the 20th of May, 2008. The Great State of Oregon will officially, historically give Barack Obama the pledged delegate majority, and I know that means Oregon matters.I dedicate this to my friend...
View ArticleObama Should Seat MI/FL in Full: May 23 Delegate Math (Updated)
All numbers updated with 1 OR super, 2 CA supers, 2 Edwards NH pledged confirmations. Rachel Maddow has it mostly right. She was right on the night of May 6, the lone voice insisting the Clintons...
View ArticleThese Are the People Who Must Reject and Denounce
Warning: this is an uncharitable, venting rant. I am angry, and to give you an idea, we are headed to Rude Punditville. Stop right now if you don't want to read it. Awhile back, I wrongly made a...
View ArticleVirtual Magic Numbers, Friday May 30, 2008
An update to last Friday's diary, with news of interveningly gained supers and the advisory about half-seating of FL/MI under discussion. Also news from Chuck Todd on "2026" and "2210," see below.This...
View ArticleIs 2118 the Magic Number?
AP says so, NBC says so, everyone except the great DCW is pretty much saying so.But is it true?Here is the most recent pdf the DNC put out listing all superdelegates who weren't add-ons. It was...
View ArticlePersonal Announcement & Results Tracking the Last, Best Primaries
It's the 3d of June, 2008. Mattering states are voting.On this day in history, nearly 40 years to the day of one of the country's darkest moments, Barack Obama has secured enough delegates to clinch...
View ArticleObama on Jon Tester
Sparked by Kos'front page Tester post the other day, and while I'm in a VP mindset.Before the comments go wild with misinterpretation, I'm not suggesting I think Obama will pick Jon Tester as VP. That...
View ArticleAl Giordano Is Right: We Need Grown Up Activism
This is a response diary to a pretty stupid trend of breathless armchair diaries. I'm not naive enough to think it will stop, but I want to offer the organizer's perspective. Campaign organizers...
View ArticleThirty Five to One
Cross posted at FiveThirtyEight.(Following on yesterday's organizing diary, I thought this would be a useful scoop.)With this morning’s Jonathan Martin front-page piece on McCain’s organizing surge at...
View ArticleDear Mark, Be Ashamed To Die
Short but sweet.Most of my reactions to the Josh Green piece for The Atlantic on the epic clusterfuck of the Clinton campaign are opinion and not analysis, so I'm posting them here rather than at...
View ArticleYes.
McCain spokesman Brian Rogers:"Does a guy who made more than $4 million last year, just got back from vacation on a private beach in Hawaii and bought his own million-dollar mansion with the help of a...
View ArticleAn Open Letter to Ron Paul from St. Paul (with Poll)
Dear Ron,Let me introduce myself. I'm Sean. We've never met, but, dude, you are killing me. Please make it stop.You see, I thought I had found a nice little place to crash for free the week of the...
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