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Dems oppose SS reform because they secretly know GOP is right

This is the dumbest thing I've read so far in 2005. David Brooks says the following thing in today's column about why it will be hard for Republicans to win Democratic support for Social Security...

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Here Comes More Monkeypoop - Politico/Michelle Obama Thesis

So the Politico has breathlessly announced it has obtained Michelle Obama's senior thesis written while at Princeton in 1985.  The big drama?As a young black student on the Princeton campus, she often...

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Wow, Clinton Attacked 12-Year Old Rape Victim's Credibility [UPDATED]

In a breathtaking story published today in Newsday, details of Hillary Clinton's involvement in a decades-old rape case in Arkansas comes under close scrutiny.It is really worth reading the whole...

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Slate's delegate calculator sucks, why it's even worse for Clinton

(A diary from yesterday that takes a look at The Math and delegates, with slight editing in the intro. SusanG)The issue here is that the way this is discussed in the media narrative does not fully...

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Now Let's Do Some Superdelegate Math

Let's start with the standard caveat.  Superdelegates are free to change their minds, as several already have.  We all know this.  This is within the rules.  Obama supporters know this, Clinton...

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Wyoming Watch: How to Scorekeep the Wyoming Caucuses [UPDATING]

It's Saturday, March 8, and the significant state of Wyoming - one of 50 states that matter - is going to the polls.Consider this both a "how to scorekeep" and live thread, for those in attendance who...

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[Updated] Put Up or Shut Up on Anti-Math Argument [w/POLL]

Thomas Jefferson once said:"The first principle of republicanism is that the lex majoris partis is the fundamental law of every society of individuals of equal rights; to consider the will of the...

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[UPDATING] Mississippi Primary: Tracking the Delegate Vote

It's Tuesday, March 11 and Mississippi - one of the 50 states that needs a president - is headed to the polls.Most of what America knows in its poplar culture about Mississippi is about Delta blues,...

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An Open Letter to Jon Tester and Brian Schweitzer

Dear Jon And Brian,I am using your first names not just because I've worked for both of you in Montana, but because I look up to both of you with great respect.  This letter is public, personal appeal...

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Delegate Math: Where We Stand After Iowa Redux [Updated]

With the Iowa Caucus county convention results now in, and Obama leading 25-14-6, Barack O'Bama leads Hillary Clinton 1418-1251 in pledged delegates.That's a lead of 171.Update:169, based on...

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In Our Hearts, Brothers and Countrymen Once Again

Recently I've been noted for delegate math and caucus day/primary day diaries.But on this day, the day of what I hope will be a heroic speech, I find myself more emotional than usual.My favorite...

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"Eloquent But Empty" This, John McCain.

"Eloquent but empty," goodbye.Cynical accusers of "cultism," you people know nothing.John Edwards, wondering if Barack Obama is tough enough to earn the magnificent gift of his precious endorsement,...

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Reconsider Pat Buchanan

I'm not implying that Pat Buchanan's comments should be reconsidered, or that he isn't a racist.  I'm suggesting we reconsider our plan of action.  This is a moment of education, not of gotcha and...

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Popular Vote Projections - Obama Will Win It

A critical caveat:  I reject the notion of the popular vote as a values-based basis for superdelegates selecting one candidate over another.  In the general election, every state but Maine and Nebraska...

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Time To Eviscerate: "Will You Support Hillary Clinton If...?"

In poker there is a useful concept called the freeroll.It means pretty much what it sounds like it means.  There is a free "roll" or chance that a player can win more than he/she is currently...

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Who Wants To Travel and Help Obama?

So, this is a relatively short diary.You can contact me at pocket99s at gmail. See below for the 4 things I need from your email if you see yourself fitting the generalities and couple particulars I've...

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Math: Revised Predictions PA Turnout/Popular Vote Ranges

Like the Blowout Principle is the mathematical undermining of the Slate delegate calculator, the Closed/Open Principle is undermining turnout predictions for the remaining states.A couple weeks ago, I...

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I Cried Again About Obama Today

It's always a tiny thing that moves me to tears.  The speeches are masterful and I always come away from them thinking what an authentic, decent man this is, and how amazing his mom must have been....

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Popular Vote: Listen Up, Obama Surrogates (Updated)

Dear Obama Surrogate,You are going to be on cable news shows in the next two weeks, and you are going to be confronted with the notion of the popular vote being a legitimate measuring stick.I must say...

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An Important May 6 Delegate Math Point: Viability

This is a short diary to emphasize a point I hope gets made by Chuck Todd and by Obama surrogates on the night of May 6 about pledged delegates.Though Barack Obama will not be at 1627 to get the...

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