With the Iowa Caucus county convention results now in, and Obama leading 25-14-6, Barack O'Bama leads Hillary Clinton 1418-1251 in pledged delegates.
That's a lead of 171.
Update:169, based on California's adjustment being +3 for Obama rather than +4. All numbers you see below are changed by this change.
John Edwards' 26 pledged delegates dropped to 18. 6 are in Iowa, 4 are in New Hampshire, and 8 are in South Carolina.
There are 10 certain contests left (8 states, tiny Guam and Puerto Rico), and 2 uncertain ones. I'll briefly run through a couple of scenarios on the Michigan and Florida situations at the end, but the diary will mainly focus on the contests we know will occur.
